The equation as it stands...
So the Men in Blue managed to do the first part of their job exactly as they had to - beat Bermuda and beat them bad... a better win than the Lankans had. Although critics may complain about the fact that it took them 40+ overs to get rid of the 66,000-population country's team, the fact is still that they beat them with the record highest victory margin and everyone, save Uthappa, got some batting practice.
Now the next task - beat Sri Lanka. Although it's not exactly clear how well that needs to be done, I think they're fine and through even with a tiny win. The reasoning: Bangladesh didn't really wallop India, yeah they won in style and all, but in the end they still only had 9 balls to spare and managed a NRR of +0.139 after the win. The extent of India's victory over Bermuda ensured that if India beat Sri Lanka (and Lanka beat Bangladesh), Bangladesh would need a phenomenal victory over the associate nation to see their net run rate exceed those of India or Sri Lanka. And this is assuming Sri Lanka's victory over Bangladesh will be a small one, which it may not be.
If Bangladesh win, then it's fair and simple - the winner of the India-Sri Lanka match goes through... though it would be better for us if they just lost, we beat Sri Lanka and then Bermuda survived a little better against Bangladesh, handing India and Sri Lanka the super 8 spots. That's the ideal situation as of now, but beggars can't be choosers; we'll just have to wait for tomorrow... and then the 23rd... and hopefully then for the 25th...
Now the next task - beat Sri Lanka. Although it's not exactly clear how well that needs to be done, I think they're fine and through even with a tiny win. The reasoning: Bangladesh didn't really wallop India, yeah they won in style and all, but in the end they still only had 9 balls to spare and managed a NRR of +0.139 after the win. The extent of India's victory over Bermuda ensured that if India beat Sri Lanka (and Lanka beat Bangladesh), Bangladesh would need a phenomenal victory over the associate nation to see their net run rate exceed those of India or Sri Lanka. And this is assuming Sri Lanka's victory over Bangladesh will be a small one, which it may not be.
If Bangladesh win, then it's fair and simple - the winner of the India-Sri Lanka match goes through... though it would be better for us if they just lost, we beat Sri Lanka and then Bermuda survived a little better against Bangladesh, handing India and Sri Lanka the super 8 spots. That's the ideal situation as of now, but beggars can't be choosers; we'll just have to wait for tomorrow... and then the 23rd... and hopefully then for the 25th...
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